Political analysts tell us next month\u2019s presidential election will be decided by the women of America. This is fitting because if she is elected on November 8, Hillary Clinton will become the nation\u2019s first female president.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
With little more than two weeks remaining until this excruciatingly awful campaign ends, women\u2014 particularly suburban and college-educated white women \u2014 have emerged as \u201cperhaps the presidential campaign\u2019s most pivotal swing voting group,\u201d according to The Washington Post. This is a slice of the electorate that surely was stunned and sickened by the appalling \u201cAccess Holly- wood\u201d tape showing the Republican presidential nominee bragging about being able to fondle women and kiss them without their consent because he is such a big star. A torrent of accusations by other women, saying that Donald Trump had touched them inappropriately over the years, followed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Before that, Trump had spent a week hectoring a Latina former Miss Universe over her weight. And for months before that, we were treated to him calling women he doesn\u2019t like \u201cfat pigs,\u201d \u201cdogs,\u201d \u201cslobs,\u201d and \u201cdisgusting animals.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Rosie O\u2019Donnell, Trump said, \u201cis crude, rude, obnoxious and dumb.\u201d Bette Midler\u2019s \u201cugly face and body\u201d are offensive. New York Times columnist Gail Collins has \u201cthe face of a dog\u201d because she once referred to him as a \u2018financially embattled thousandaire\u2019. Fox News anchor Megyn Kelly is a \u201cbimbo.\u201d Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg is \u201cdumb\u201d because she criticized him. His own wife Melania was a \u201cblimp\u201d and a \u201cmonster\u201d when she was pregnant with his child. Hillary Clinton is \u201ca liar\u201d and \u201cthe devil.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Shall we continue, or shall we now pivot and talk about numbers?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trump is still doing well with white men, particularly non-college-educated men. But women make up nearly 51 percent of the American electorate, and according to the Center for American Women and Politics, the proportion of eligible females who voted has exceeded the proportion of eligible males who voted in every presidential election since 1980. Does anyone think this year\u2014of all years \u2014will be an exception?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Polls indicate that African-American women, who are overwhelmingly Democrat, will vote overwhelmingly for Hillary Clinton. But how about white women?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Clinton\u2019s lead among all women is now averaging at least 15 points. In the world of polling, that\u2019s big.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
And what about that crucial group of white women with college degrees? Clinton is beating Trump by 30 points: 57 percent to Trump\u2019s 27 percent, according to a recent Monmouth University poll. (In 2012, then-GOP nominee Mitt Romney carried white, college-educated women by 6 points over President Obama.) Pundits agree that Trump badly needs college-educated white women to offset his expected deficit among African-Americans, Latinos, Asian-Americans, Muslims, and other minority groups.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
FiveThirtyEight\u2019s election guru Nate Silver\u2014 who predicted every single state correctly for Barack Obama and Mitt Romney in 2012\u2014takes it one step further. If ONLY WOMEN voted this November, Clinton would end up with 458 electoral votes to Trump\u2019s 80, Silver said last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
There was a similar lopsided result, although in reverse, if only men voted. (South Carolina would be in Clinton\u2019s column if only women voted, Silver said.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Can we say gender gap?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
As the poet Maya Angelou said, \u201cWhen someone shows you who they are, believe them the first time.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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